Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001094 1.243263e-03 0.001394 0.001557 0.001728 0.001902 0.002091
2025-06-01 0.000825 1.033241e-03 0.001252 0.001497 0.001761 0.002035 0.002340
2025-06-08 0.000645 8.956802e-04 0.001169 0.001484 0.001831 0.002199 0.002614
2025-06-15 0.000545 8.335202e-04 0.001159 0.001543 0.001974 0.002437 0.002966
2025-06-22 0.000413 7.185657e-04 0.001079 0.001515 0.002015 0.002560 0.003189
2025-06-29 0.000326 6.457261e-04 0.001039 0.001527 0.002097 0.002725 0.003456
2025-07-06 0.000295 6.409845e-04 0.001078 0.001630 0.002279 0.003000 0.003843
2025-07-13 0.000215 5.585608e-04 0.001015 0.001605 0.002312 0.003104 0.004038
2025-07-20 0.000138 4.654081e-04 0.000929 0.001548 0.002301 0.003155 0.004171
2025-07-27 0.000107 4.370766e-04 0.000925 0.001588 0.002404 0.003335 0.004446
2025-08-03 0.000068 3.827949e-04 0.000881 0.001575 0.002440 0.003436 0.004631
2025-08-10 0.000024 2.946283e-04 0.000780 0.001483 0.002378 0.003419 0.004679
2025-08-17 0.000002 2.285177e-04 0.000716 0.001455 0.002413 0.003542 0.004918
2025-08-24 NaN 1.560823e-04 0.000629 0.001390 0.002403 0.003613 0.005100
2025-08-31 NaN 1.116102e-04 0.000580 0.001374 0.002452 0.003753 0.005365
2025-09-07 NaN 9.544040e-05 0.000580 0.001428 0.002593 0.004005 0.005759
2025-09-14 NaN 5.915067e-05 0.000527 0.001400 0.002623 0.004122 0.005996
2025-09-21 NaN 3.925124e-05 0.000502 0.001411 0.002704 0.004300 0.006303
2025-09-28 NaN 3.955491e-05 0.000533 0.001509 0.002900 0.004619 0.006777
2025-10-05 NaN 1.890986e-05 0.000488 0.001485 0.002932 0.004734 0.007009
2025-10-12 NaN 3.101361e-06 0.000427 0.001429 0.002918 0.004792 0.007171
2025-10-19 NaN 6.746950e-07 0.000424 0.001468 0.003032 0.005008 0.007520
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000392 0.001455 0.003074 0.005131 0.007758